Nate Silver has a post that buttresses what this blog has been harping on since it's made amateurish attempts at analyzing the Republican primary/caucus race:
geography has been destiny ... much more than basing analyses on other demographics, especially the "demographic" of whether an exit poll respondent describes her/himself as "very conservative," "moderately conservative," "liberal," et cetera. Anyway, it's nice to have one's observations confirmed by a true expert.
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